Evidence record EV-0025

Run-to-run variance dominates, and a verification tool beats a verification prompt

A preprint reports that about 54% of outcome variance in its coding-agent benchmark came from repeating the same configuration, and that a dedicated verification tool changed verification behaviour substantially where a prompt asking the agent to verify had little effect.

Evidence class: Preprint. Unreviewed. Many are by one author or a small team, and some authors have a stake in the result. Most AX research is in this class today. Pattern tags: evaluation, measurement.

Effect, as the source reports it

  • Share of outcome variance from repeating an identical configuration. Direction: not-applicable. Size: About 54%. Sample: Four scientific tasks; more than 18,000 released trajectories.
  • Verification behaviour. Baseline: Prompt asking the agent to verify: little effect. With the change: Dedicated verification tool: substantial change. Direction: increase. Size: Qualitative in the abstract. Sample: As above.

Agent profile

  • Note on models: Several backbone models (one of the five configuration factors). The abstract does not name them.

Conflicts of interest

None declared in the abstract. The full text was not checked for a competing-interest statement.

Source

Agents Are Systems, Not Models: Rethinking Agentic Evaluation, arXiv, Luis Wiedmann, Leander Girrbach, Cordelia Schmid, Zeynep Akata, 1 October 2026, arXiv:2610.01618. Retrieved ; verification: abstract-only.

Every number in this record was checked against the live arXiv abstract page on 2026-10-08. The full text was not re-checked.

Limitations

  • Preprint, not peer reviewed.
  • Four scientific tasks in which a coding agent must operate a published specialist model.

For designers

Run each test several times before you conclude that a change helped. If you want an agent to check its work, give it a tool for that rather than an instruction.

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